Everybody’s talking about Polymarket…But what is Polymarket? How does it work? Where did this idea come from? And, most important of all, how is it going to be used to generate the next Predictive Programming False Flag event? Join James in this week’s edition of The Corbett Report podcast as he peels back the layers of the Polymarket onion.
Video player not working? Use these links to watch it somewhere else!
WATCH ON:
/
/
/
/
/
or DOWNLOAD THE MP4
TRANSCRIPT
JAMES CORBETT: By now, you’ve no doubt heard about the latest Polymarket scandal.
ANCHOR: We’re learning that a special forces soldier has been charged for making more than $400,000 by betting on whether or not Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro would be removed from office. And here’s the thing: according to the indictment, the officer participated in the planning and execution of the operation and used that classified information to allegedly profit.
SOURCE: Special forces soldier charged with making bets on U.S. capture of Maduro
CORBETT: But have you heard Trump’s response to this scandal?
DONALD TRUMP: The whole world unfortunately has become somewhat of a casino. And you look at what’s going on all over the world in Europe and every place, they’re doing these betting things. I was never much in favor of it. I don’t like it conceptually, but it is what it is.
SOURCE: Trump Responds to $400K Maduro Bet on Polymarket Involving US Special Forces Soldier
CORBETT: It is what it is…but what is it, exactly?
Don’t worry if you’re new to this Polymarket thing. Today on The Corbett Report, I’m going to explain to you what Polymarket is, how it functions, and where this insidious idea came from. And then i’m going to explain to you how it can be used in the next generation of predictive programming false flag events.
Are you ready? Let’s go.
CORBETT REPORT THEME
CORBETT: Welcome back, friends. Welcome back to another edition of The Corbett Report. I’m your host, James Corbett of corbettreport.com, coming to you, as always, from the sunny climes of Western Japan here in April of 2026 with Episode 500 of The Corbett Report podcast, “What No One Is Saying About Polymarket.”
Now, I would ask, “Have you heard the latest story about Polymarket?” but you could well respond by saying, “Which story?” Because, yes, in case you haven’t noticed, Polymarket is all over the news these days.
First and foremost, there is that story of U.S. Special Forces Officer Master Sergeant Ganon Ken Van Dyke, who was caught up in a scandal pocketing a cool 400 gs from his own insider information about the raid on Maduro.
NICOLE SGANGA: At the center of this case is Master Sergeant Ganon Ken Van Dyke, based in North Carolina. And prosecutors allege that he placed a bet on the top secret raid literally hours before the president announced it. In total, he placed about 13 bets that were all related to Maduro and Venezuela, wagering $33,000 in total. And he netted more than $400,000.
Now, according to the indictment, the soldier also tried to cover up his tracks. Just three days after Maduro’s capture, Van Dyke asked Poly Market, which was the prediction market that he betted on, to delete his account. And then prosecutors actually say that he tried to switch the email that was associated with his profile.
SOURCE: Latest news on Polymarket bets linked to Nicolás Maduro’s capture
CORBETT: …But that isn’t the only news story about Polymarket that’s making its way through the news wires lately.
For example, you might have seen this story from The Times of Israel: “Israeli Air Force major charged with using classified info to place bets on Polymarket,” which notes:
An Israeli Air Force reservist is suspected of having used classified information to place bets on the Polymarket prediction site relating to Israel’s war with Iran last year, a Tel Aviv court revealed on Thursday.
—talking about the so-called “12-day war” in June 2025 and the suspicion that this Air Force reservist used his insider classified information to bet on the timing of that war.
But it’s not just about military operations. It’s about, well, everything you can imagine.
For example, there’s this Bloomberg story that came out recently: “France Probes Weather Data Tampering After Surge in Polymarket Bets,” which notes that,
France’s forecasting office flagged suspected tampering with weather sensors at the country’s largest airport and referred the case to police.
—talking about:
[…]temperature readings taken at Meteo France’s weather station at Charles de Gaulle International Airport spiked 4C and 5C unexpectedly in the evenings of April 6 and April 15, respectively, reaching the highest temperature recorded at the site on those days, data from the installation show.
Readings from the site are important for the safe operation of the airport. They are also used to settle contracts for daily high temperatures on Polymarket, according to information on the website where traders place bets on real-world outcomes.
And here is the meat and potatoes. So, looking at that anomalous spike, the highest spike in temperatures ever recorded on that date in that location…
Prediction market traders and independent meteorologists in a French weather discussion forum flagged the data irregularities and questioned the results of the contracts, which attracted roughly $1.4 million in combined bets, according to Polymarket data. Total betting for each was more than double the typical volume for other daily Paris temperature contracts in April.
OK, that’s a fascinating story in and of itself and talks about a number of stories that I think are important to the concerned audience everywhere and certainly members of The Corbett Report.
For example, people who are interested in the tampering with temperature data, but also, of course, what it tells us about inside information and trading and how trading can be manipulated and the results of those trades can be manipulated and things to look out for with regard to this.
For example, an unusual spike in activity on a particular option or stock or bet right before a completely anomalous reading or event occurs in that space. If that sounds familiar: Ding! Ding! Ding! You’ve been paying attention to, for example, the 9/11 inside information / advanced trading that clearly, demonstrably took place around the events of September 11th, 2001.
And you will know all about that if, for example, you have read REPORTAGE: Essays on the New World Order, in which, of course, I have an entire essay about the 9-11 insider trading.
To be sure, insider trading almost certainly did transpire in the weeks before 9/11. Although some have pointed to the Commission Report’s “no conceivable ties to al Qaeda” line as proof that the theory of investor foreknowledge has been successfully debunked, the intervening years have seen the release of not one, not two, but three separate scientific papers establishing the statistical likelihood that advance knowledge was the reason for the anomalous trading leading up to the attacks.
In “Unusual Option Market Activity and the Terrorist Attacks of September 11, 2001,” University of Chicago professor Allen Poteshman concluded: “Examination of the option trading leading up to September 11 reveals that there was an unusually high level of put buying. This finding is consistent with informed investors having traded options in advance of the attacks.”
In “Detecting Abnormal Trading Activities in Option Markets,” researchers at the University of Zurich used econometric methods to confirm unusual put option activity on the stocks of key airlines, banks, and reinsurers in the weeks prior to 9/11.
And in “Was There Abnormal Trading in the S&P 500 Index Options Prior to the September 11 Attacks?” a team of researchers concluded that abnormal activity in the S&P 500 index options market around the time of the attack “is consistent with insiders anticipating the 9-11 attacks.
That leaves us with two key questions: who was profiting from these trades, and why was no one ever indicted for participating in them?
SOURCE: REPORTAGE: Essays on the New World Order by James Corbett
CORBETT: Now, hopefully you are familiar with the story of the 9/11 terror trade, but, if not, I have an essay for you! It’s called “The 9-11 Terror Trade,” and it is contained in my collection of essays, REPORTAGE: Essays on the New World Order, available in paperback and hardcover and audiobook and ebook at reportagebook.com and wherever fine books are sold…until they’re not.
But, yes, suffice it to say, there is a lengthy and voluminous history of inside information being used in the past to profit through inside trading and trading on advanced knowledge of various events. And of course, that predates 9/11. It postdates 9/11. But that is just one obvious example that should, I assume, be familiar to most Corbett Report listeners.
But now, inside advanced information trading comes with a new technological twist! It’s called Polymarket!
And yes, you have probably heard of Polymarket by now, but do you know what it is and how it functions? Well, if not, I have a handy dandy explainer for you. It is called “How to Make a Fortune on Regime Change.” It’s an editorial that I wrote earlier this year, specifically in January of this year. And it is, of course, available up on corbettreport.com. And like all my editorials, it’s also available up on my Substack. And when and if you go and read through it, you’ll find this information about Polymarket and how it works. I write:
…if you drill down on Polymarket’s documentation, you can learn how this all works. Specifically:
On Polymarket, you can buy and sell shares representing future event outcomes (e.g., “Will TikTok be banned in the U.S. this year?”)
Shares in event outcomes are always priced between 0.00 and 1.00 USDC, and every pair of event outcomes (i.e., each pair of “YES” + “NO” shares) is fully collateralized by $1.00 USDC.
Shares are created when opposing sides come to an agreement on odds, such that the sum of what each side is willing to pay is equal to $1.00.
OK, that might make perfect sense to people who are familiar with these types of prediction markets. That might make no sense to people who are not. So, perhaps the best way to get your handle on it is to look at an actual specific example.
For example: “Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?” And, if you go to polymarket.com, you can place your bet on this particular outcome. Interestingly, it seems to have stabilized at a certain rate. I guess there is about a 4% chance that Jesus is going to return according to the collective wisdom of the Polymarket users.
And so, again, we can visually see how this works if you’re watching the video version of this podcast. You can see that the “yes” bet is currently 3.9 cents and the “no” bet is 96.2 cents. So what that means is, let’s say that you make a $100 bet on this particular event. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? And you say “yes!” And if Jesus Christ returns before 2027 then the “yes” side will get paid out and if it is at this 3.9 cents when the market is finally resolved and it pays out then that means in your $100 bet you’re going to receive the $96.20 that represents the share of the other side. That is what the what the market looks like.
And if you are so inclined, you can go through and start signing up and setting up your account and getting involved and playing with the markets as you will. But I have some reservations about such activity that I’ll get into later in this episode.
Anyway, as I go on to say, how is it resolved? I mean, I suppose, will Jesus Christ return before 2027? I’d like to think that most people would be aware of that fact if it did resolve. And yes, Jesus Christ did return! Or if he did not return. I suppose there could be some room for dispute, which actually leads to the question, how are these markets resolved? Who decides what the outcome of some of these bets actually is?
When the market is resolved—i.e., when “UMA Optimistic Oracle, a smart-contract based optimistic oracle“ decides that there is a determinative outcome to the event being gambled on—the winnings are paid out in USDC, the Ethereum stablecoin (supposedly) backed by US dollars.
And yes, if you click through on that, you’re going to find a link to an article explaining what UMA Oracle is, which to cut to the chase says that:
UMA, short for Universal Market Access, is an optimistic oracle built by Risk Labs. It lets smart contracts request and receive offchain data by verifying real-world outcomes through a request–propose–dispute cycle. It’s called “optimistic” because statements are assumed valid unless challenged.
Otherwise, it will just be assumed to be true. And:
UMA uses the Schelling Point principle: independent voters are motivated to report the truth because they expect others to do the same.
It operates on the golden rule, guys! What could possibly go wrong?
Alright. So that, again—there’s a lot to dive into with regards to that, but let’s move on to some of the interesting connections behind this Polymarket idea and where it comes from.
As I go on to write:
What’s more, Polymarket likes to brag that “the counterparty to each trade is another Polymarket user,” meaning that shares can be sold before the market is resolved and that, unlike sportsbooks, there’s “no ‘house’ to ban you for winning too much.”
And why would the house ban you for winning too much? Because perhaps you’re cheating in some way, right?
Well, this all sounds completely above board and legitimate! What could possibly go wrong?
Oh, that’s right. Peter Thiel.
Yes. As it turns out, Peter Thiel’s founders fund helped lead a $200 million funding round for Polymarket last June. And as I go on to explain, if you don’t know why that is something to be concerned about, then you don’t know about The Strange Story of Peter Thiel (Part One / Part Two / Part Three) or “Antichrist or Armageddon” or the Iain Davis Exposes the Technocratic Dark State conversation or other things that I’ve done on Thiel and his connections in the past.
But it gets even worse! Yes, as I write here:
Polymarket added Donald Trump, Jr. as an adviser last August after his 1789 Capital VC fund made a sizable investment in the company.
So, not only is Polymarket backed by Peter Thiel, that blood drinking vampire, but also by Donald Trump, Jr. So, yes, you literally have the president’s son invested in this Polymarket that is now being used to bet on various world events based on inside information that could come from, oh, I don’t know, maybe the president or people around him. Interesting.
So, I think you’re starting to get a sense of why this might not be a good idea. And there are even more layers to that, because although there are some very obvious reasons why this might be a bad idea, there are some less obvious ones that we’re going to get into. But let’s start by committing the genetic fallacy and asking, “Where does this idea—this Polymarket idea—come from?”
Because, as you may or may not be surprised to learn, it did not spring fully formed from the head of Peter Thiel or Donald Trump, Jr. No, this idea goes back at least a couple of decades and it has a surprising origin!
…Oh, wait, it’s not surprising at all. It’s DARPA. It comes from DARPA.
US SENATOR BYRON DORGAN: In three days there will become operative on the Internet, stemming from the site of DARPA in the Department of Defense, something called the futures market. It’s a futures market to predict future events in the Middle East. And the basis of it is apparently the Department of Defense believes, as they say — you’ll read this when you go to theWeb site — they believe that having the market system, people in the market system betting or buying and selling futures contracts, theywill be able to develop information about what might or might not happen in the Middle East in the future.
So they’re going to develop a program, and that program will buy and sell with individual investors futures contracts on a wide range of issues. And this is effectively a plan to bet on what might or might not happen in the Middle East.
This betting parlor on the Internet will include wagers, for example, as the examples on the Internet site put up by the Department of Defense, would include: Will Mr. Arafat be assassinated? Will there be missile attacks from North Korea? Will the king of Jordan be overthrown — just as an example?
And it will become effectively an Internet casino so that individual investors can make bets on future events in the Middle East. And those predictive bets will then give intelligence presumably to the Department of Defense.
SEG5
CORBETT: Yes, DARPA, the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency. And to my long-term listeners, I think it will come as no surprise that this idea has its genesis in DARPA. But there are always new people tuning into The Corbett Report, so if you are unfamiliar with DARPA and the crazy and Orwellian and totalitarian ideas that it has been involved in over the years, I would highly suggest you check out Corbett Report Radio episode 265 on “DARPA Exposed,” where I go through the history of that organization and some of the crazy things and schemes that it has been a part of over the years. But yes, DARPA.
And for those who do not know, that was a press conference that was delivered by Senators Ron Wyden and Byron Dorgan back in July of 2003, when they were first announcing to the public the existence of this “Policy Analysis Market” that DARPA was putting together and pointing out some of the reasons why it might be a bad idea, which should be, I think, I’m going to go out on a limb and say fairly intuitive. I think, at the very least, everyone shares the “ick factor” about an idea like this, literally betting on deaths, assassinations, bombings, regime change, war, etc., bloodshed and violence of various sorts. There is an inherent ick factor to that.
And we don’t have to go too much on a speculative limb to say that because as one result of that press conference that we were just watching that clip from, that very same day, the policy analysis market was discontinued. The program was scrapped. And shortly thereafter, the then-head of DARPA, Admiral Poindexter—Yes, the same Iran-Contra criminal Poindexter, who also has a part to play in the story of the creation of Palantir—Poindexter was forced to resign his position as head of DARPA as a result of that scandal.
So yes, I think people were generally feeling that ick that was, again, articulated by Drogan and Wyden in that press conference.
DROGAN: I think this is unbelievably stupid. It’s not only — that is a gentle thing to say about a program that is so devoid of value. It combines the worst of all of our instincts, in my judgment. It is a tragic waste of taxpayers’ money. It will be offensive to almost everyone.
Can you imagine if another country set up a betting parlor so that people could go in — and is sponsored by the government itself — people could go in and bet on the assassination of an American political figure, or the overthrow of this institution or that institution? It is terribly wasteful in terms of wasting money. It is offensive.
CORBETT: Yes, stupid, offensive, a waste of taxpayer money, all of the above and more. But as I say, I think that fundamental ick factor that comes along with the idea of literally placing bets on real world events of violence and bloodshed is just inherently distasteful to the average person. And that doesn’t need much explanation.
But, of course, the idea of prediction markets—there are a number of layers to this onion. And this is the Corbett Report. We don’t stop at the outside layer, just that “ick feeling” that people get from this. No, let’s let’s dive a little bit deeper.
And to their credit, I think Wyden and Drogon also articulated the next layer of this onion in their press conference when they pointed out another very bad thing that can happen with these types of prediction markets, which is that they, by their very nature, actually incentivize—monetarily incentivize—terrorists to go out and commit spectacular acts of terrorism.
US SENATOR RON WYDEN: The policy analysis market Web site — and this is an important point — says that all you have to do to become a trader is to create a user name and put your money down. So it seems that terrorists even may be able to be protected as they play.
The Web site assures bettors that DARPA is not going to have access to their identities or their funds. So we don’t know the details. Maybe somebody else is going to get it, but it’s not evident here.
So the question is: Why wouldn’t terrorists just hop online and start betting if they couldn’t either mislead American authorities about their plans or make money to fund more Al Qaida operations?
CORBETT: Yes, why wouldn’t terrorists hop online and start betting on their terror attacks? Good question. But it does lead to a further question: who are the terrorists? Because, although Senator Wyden is pointing the finger at those dastardly turban-wearing, beard-sporting boogeymen in al-Qaeda—well, I think the Corbett Reporteers in the crowd and others in the conspiracy reality community will be better situated to understand that we should also be concerned about the Al-CIA-da terrorists and the money that they could be making betting on their own spectacular terror events of various sorts.
Just to concentrate on the financial motivation that terrorists would have in betting on events that they were involved in, or servicemen—another type of terrorist—betting on the things that they’ve learned from their classified briefings, etc. It’s not just a passive activity. So let’s go down another layer of the onion, because again, not only are the terrorists and US servicemen (but I repeat myself) incentivized to bet on things that they know about, things that they’ve heard about—information that they have learned—they are incentivized to make spectacular and unexpected events happen.
We saw a relatively benign version of that earlier in this episode with that weather data tampering at the Charles de Gaulle airport. OK, so it seems—and nothing has been proven yet in a court of law—but it seems that some person or persons have engaged in some sort of conspiracy to manipulate the temperature data at Charles de Gaulle Airport because they could then place a bet on a sudden anomalous record-breaking spike in temperature at that particular airport that—lo and behold! wow!—it took place. “And here’s the data to prove it!”
So, think about what happened in that instance. This isn’t people just passively learning about some sort of event that was going to happen. They didn’t just find out there was going to be some sort of anomalous event, a spike in temperatures at Charles de Gaulle airport next week. No, they went out and made that happen specifically to make money from it. And in the event of weather data tampering at a single airport for a single day, perhaps it isn’t the end of the world. But it doesn’t take much imagination to see how this could be used in, well, world-ending scenarios.
For example, we have this from Wall Street Journal recently: Polymarket Removes Betting Market on Nuclear Detonation.
So, once again, you can read the details of this story and the market that did spring into existence and was being actively bet on with something like a quarter of a million dollars of bets already in place before the market was shut down—betting on the likelihood of nuclear detonation as, of course, things start to ramp up between the US and Israel and Iran. And obviously the threat of nuclear annihilation is growing. But again, think about the added danger of having a Polymarket or Kalshi or one of these other prediction markets in place to literally incentivize such an event to happen. Because the surprising and the most catastrophic outcome will always be the one that is on the winning side of such bets.
It is, of course, extremely unlikely that such-and-such an event like a nuclear detonation will take place in June unless—and when it does happen, you will win a lot of money, especially if you were in a position to make such a thing happen. Like, I don’t know if you’re Donald Trump, Jr., and your father is the president of the United States sitting there with the nuclear football…Hmm. There might be some conflict of interest here and maybe some actual incentivization to make such an event happen that otherwise would not. That is one of the reasons that we should be very concerned about these prediction markets and where they’re going.
But wait, it gets even worse. Yes, let’s go down to another layer of this onion. Because, although I think a lot of people have caught on to the idea that prediction markets are bad for a number of reasons—not only the ick factor of betting on death, not only the incentivization of literally the money, the monetary reward for people using their inside information to bet on death, but actually to incentivize people to commit spectacular acts of terrorism and violence in order to profit from them. But it’s also even worse.
And we can get an inkling of that from an article like this one from Fortune: “Kalshi and Polymarket are racing to ban insider trading. The economist who built the theory behind prediction markets says it’s the whole point.” Yes, this whole thing is to yield insider trading, advanced knowledge trading. Why is that? Well, if you read on into this article, you’ll find that:
Under mounting pressure, Kalshi and Polymarket have rolled out new restrictions barring politicians from trading on their own campaigns, athletes from trading in their own leagues, and employees from trading on contracts tied to their employers.
But Robin Hanson, who’s been making the intellectual case for prediction markets for nearly 40 years, says this is all wrong.
“You want them trading,” Hanson, a professor at George Mason University who helped develop the market scoring rule used by many prediction markets, said of insiders. “You want the most accurate prices. That’s pretty clear. The purpose of the market is to inform decisions.”
Well, I hope you understand what this Robin Hansen is saying there. I hope you understand the significance of this. Yes, the point of these prediction markets is to signal information about coming events. That’s what these are for.
In fact, that was explicitly—if you go back and read the policy analysis market materials and documents that I have linked up in my How to Make a Fortune on Regime Change editorial, you’ll find that was the ostensible reason why DARPA was putting the PAM (the Policy Analysis Market) into place in the first place. It was so that their policy analysts could look at the markets and the way they were trading and have a more informed perspective on the likelihood of such-and-such an event. Because they would be able to see all the market participants who are placing bets.
Yes, that’s one way to look at it: signaling information. That is what the market is doing. It is signaling information. And it’s specifically, as Robin Hanson says, it’s designed so that insiders with inside information can signal their advanced knowledge through the market, through the betting mechanism. And when you see a sudden run up in prices or situated around a certain event, you will know, “Oh, OK, so there’s something in the offing there and there’s some plan out there that people are working on.” That is the point of such a market.
But the next layer of the onion is once you realize that and once people start looking at that, then of course, as DARPA was talking about in their original policy and analysis market documents, and as the people are talking about Polymarket and Kalshi and these other prediction markets are noting, yes, the point is to start using this as a tool for more accurately understanding and predicting future events so that we can see where things are going. But once people start doing that and they start noticing, “Oh, OK, look at this market that just came up” on whatever the case may be—a nuclear detonation on June 25th or whatever the case is—”Oh, OK. So, now we know there’s some sort of there’s some sort of plot. Somebody’s got some idea. There’s something going on.”
And of course, the fairy tale version of this is the government loves and cares about you and is watching over you. So, DARPA or whoever else are keeping their eye on such things so that they can find out about these devious plots as they’re taking place. Imagine if they were doing this, say, prior to 9/11 and they noticed the unprecedented, unusual activity in the options markets pre-9/11 and put two and two together and realized, “Oh, there’s some sort of attack in the offing.”
Now, of course, in conspiracy reality, we know that these government agencies are not there to swaddle you in their loving arms and protect you from cradle to grave. They are there to, at the very best, use you and fleece you as the taxpaying tax cattle, but, more realistically, to put you into the maw of the technocratic enslavement state and to either keep you there forever or depopulate you or turn you into a transhuman nightmare.
Anyway, on that positive note. ..Yes, so we should not be relying on, “Oh, well, government agencies will use these prediction markets to better head off security threats before they come to pass!” No, of course, that’s not what it’s for.
But it does raise another interesting point, and that is that we know that the conspirators involved in this conspiracy reality are not solely—perhaps not even primarily—motivated by monetary concerns, as anyone worth their salt knows. The banksters, et cetera, literally print the money out of thin air, as it is sometimes portrayed. The money itself is not what is important. What is important is the power that comes from having the possession of that economic monetary resource and the power that can be wielded with that.
And so, if you could spend a bunch of money to, for example, give out some misinformation that will then be picked up by people who are looking at predictions markets, wouldn’t you do so? And yes, so we’ve arrived at the bottom layer of this onion, which is that eventually, once people have been habituated to this idea—which, as you see, is now spilling out in all of the mainstream news feeds everybody’s talking about. For example, this US Special Forces officer who was apparently betting on insider information. Once that becomes part of the cultural conversation, once people understand what is happening, more people will start looking to these prediction markets to see what is coming.
And in that context, it becomes a lot easier to mislead people, misinform people, send people down rabbit trails to nowhere in with a well-placed bet and a bit of mainstream—maybe mainstream alternative—attention on a particular bet. People can be looking this way where the real action is happening the other way.
So, what am I talking about? Well, again, we don’t have to use our imagination too deeply here to understand how this could be used. I mean, on the geopolitical level, for example, the military planners of the war machine could ramp up sudden speculation about Chinese invasion of Taiwan or something along those lines and get everyone to focus on that. Meanwhile, they’re planning the next stage of their Ukraine-Russia operation or something along those lines. So there’s that sort of grand geopolitical strategy.
But it could be something that’s specifically designed to target the conspiracy realists in the crowd who know about these types of things—know about, for example, the story of the 9-11 terror trade, and know, “Oh, we can use these prediction markets to see what the next false flag might be.” And they, of course, could use that as a signal that will keep people chasing down the wrong rabbit trail to nowhere.
And if people don’t understand how that works, you might remember Operation Blackjack that floated around the independent alternative media 15 years ago or so. So if you don’t remember that, I’ll throw in a link that will help explain that story to you. But yes. “Oh, my God, there’s going to be a terror attack and it’s going to be a nuclear terror attack! And we know that it’s a nuclear false flag terror attack specifically. We know this because it’s in a cartoon that’s being published in the newspaper!” What?
Anyway, that was apparently what it took 15 years ago to send lots of people down a false rabbit trail to nowhere. That got them frothing at the mouth and looking like crazies to the people who are still credulous and trusting of the establishment media. But how much more effective will it be when suddenly, “Oh, my God, did you see the new poly market bet on a nuclear explosion on such and such a date or the assassination of Trump or something like that on such and such a date? Oh, well, now we know. Now we know what’s happening and we can delve into that.” It’s QAnon on steroids at that point. So not only can Polymarket be used, obviously, to monetarily benefit “terrorists” of various sorts, but it can also be used to signal false information and lead people down false paths.
So there are a lot of reasons why you should be very, very skeptical about this whole Polymarket idea and where it’s going and what is happening as a result of it.
But, having said that: happy betting, everyone! Go on Polymarket or Kalshi or one of these prediction markets today and start placing your bets!
No, of course, I am not advocating that. In fact, I would say that if you are getting sucked into this online casino, in which you’re not just betting on the spinning of a ball on a roulette table, you are betting on literal life and death…Well, not only are you going to be the sucker because you will always be the least informed person—unless you’re involved in one of these plots—you will be the least informed person at the table and will be easily misled and will probably lose your money very quickly. But more to the point, you are participating in this activity that is literally incentivizing murder, mayhem, and bloodshed. And I don’t know about you, I don’t want any part of it.
But, as always, I’m interested in your information, your take on this. And as a result, I would like to call on the Corbett Report members to go to corbettreport.com/polymarket, where you will not only be able to find the complete hyperlinked transcript of everything I’ve talked about today, all of the links to all of the sources that we’ve looked at today, but also to participate in the comment section where you can deliberate with other informed Corbett Reporteers about this information and about what Polymarket it is or Kalshi or any of these online prediction markets and how you think they are being used, abused, or misused.
But on that note, I think we’re going to leave today’s exploration there for today. Thank you for investing your mind time in the Corbett Report. I am James Corbett of corbettreport.com. Looking forward to talking to you again in the near future.
The deep state. False flags. 9/11 Truth. The Federal Reserve. Secret wars and hidden histories. Fake news, medical martial law, ceaseless propaganda. James Corbett. REPORTAGE: Essays on the New World Order. Available where books are sold…until they’re not.









April 26 – Stock investor Mike Jones says:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZWM86U3IvaU
54 seconds to 4 minute mark
“Hopefully I say this correctly, but I always tell you if something happens, like we watch Washington DC. We watch the administration, the politicians in the House and Senate like do all this stuff man! – where there’s just so much crazy insider trading.
It’s just insane about the knowledge they get from being on these committees, of waiting for a Trump tweet to come out, you know, short oil 5 minutes before, all kinds of stuff, right?
Just billions upon billions.
And so, if this is supposed to be the poster child for this, this hypocrisy has reached an all-time new level. I mean, it just has.
And you got this soldier now…So he went on Polymarket…
…What have we been talking about for the last month and a half?
As long as this Iran thing been going on, I have personally showed you spots where you can look and go: “That’s insider trading!”
They’re literally trading minutes before a tweet or a Truth Social post comes out about a ceasefire or anything else.
Yet, I don’t see anybody up there being investigated…Nobody in the Senate, I mean, how long have we followed Nancy Pelosi and all those other politicians?”
[Mike cites some examples.]
”…I don’t see anybody in Washington being punished…
…If it’s us that does some of the crap that they do in DC, man! We’re going to jail…
…And these people up there, supposed to be our leaders, fearless leaders, are doing it every day.
Every day.
And we know it.
And there ain’t nothing being handed out to them. They just walk right on out….
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
CANDLESTICK STOCK CHARTS — JAPAN in the 1700’s
https://presearch.com/search?q=origination+of+candlestick+charts+japan
Candlestick charts originated in 18th-century Japan (roughly the 1700s) to analyze rice prices, developed by legendary rice trader Homma Munehisa.
Used in the world’s first futures markets in Osaka, these charts were created to visualize market sentiment, supply/demand, and emotional fluctuations beyond just numerical data.
About 94% of Congress are Zionist or Zionist supporters. Trump and his administration are almost exclusively Zionists and the majority of the Supreme Court was chosen by Zionists, so that makes a near complete take over of the Federal government by Zionism which is all about destroying the existing world so that these Zionists can rise from the ashes to rule over a world with far less people.
Indeed, the Zionists can get away with anything while a soldier who is not part of the cult is prosecuted so as to make an example which will serve to keep the rest of the minions in line.
It’s a big club…
What feels concerning to me is that the ick factor you’re talking about, that was still kind of common among humanity in 2003, (as the results back then showed) slowly eroded and washed away in the last 20 years gettin us to a now “immune” and desensitized humanity that couldn’t be bothered by death and destruction anymore…
Hey man, who has the time to be humane when they need to put the food on the table? Or another helicopter on the old mansion. The old mon-eye is the ultimate god and it does not care about suffering. Well, it does care as it will typically increase the profits, for some at least.
How many congress members start off with small bank accounts and in a few years are multi-millionaires on their $174,000 salary?
Take Nancy Pelosi as a bad example.
The social illness of greed and deceit is at a pandemic level. Many with good hearts and ecclesiastical values believe it is the “end days.” Others with excellent historical understanding see our empire in collapse, much like Rome for example. Those with the Tartarian historical knowledge being released and exampled online see it as a familiar re-set of society going on.
From my life is like living in a fish bowl simile, I have no idea but that which I have sung about and written about. Bottom line…humanity is under control of its natural evolutionary growth or consciousness expansion with the majority of our “beliefs” contrived nonsense to maintain the illusion. I can articulate many of the “players” and the agendas but it often seems like they are all what the players want one to embrace.
And the ‘deep’ thinkers on the Internet (as exampled here quite often) sharing shallow cut and paste lies eventually show their azz that everyone’s an Einstein till they’re not.
So…
DO YOU THINK WE’RE GONNA LAST (Song)
https://old.bitchute.com/video/Kykg3jVHnrU4/
Polymarkets as a tool to mislead conspiracy realists? Here’s where a rule i like to call “Hugh’s wedge” comes in, which can loosely be stated as: “don’t attribute to malice OR stupidity, that which doesn’t need to be attributed at all.” None of the big players need currently concern themselves with misleading conspiracy realists, they’re negligible. This is proven by the fact that someone as dangerous as James Corbett can broadcast his dangerous thoughts for 20 years without being imprisoned or offed.
Hughername, Sambody
Your words here make a thought bubble that has been met with disdain in this journal in the past . You remind me of my
High School history teacher playing films forming our knowledge of South East Asia. He said much the same to us when we asked ” why are we there? ” Hughes wedge” could of been Mr. Austins daily mantra. ” DON’T ATTRIBUTE TO MALICE __OR___STUPIDITY, THAT WHICH DOESN’T NEED TO BE ATTRIBUTED __AT__ ALL! ~~~ So are you saying don’t even ask? Don’t question it?
Are you implying That Corbett would have to be offed or imprisoned to prove he is not an asset of Canadian Intelligence Service, CSIS ?. Why is he here? Use POSIWID. One Corbett flower in the field will attract, trace and identify an army of wrong thinking bees. It’s now just a matter of Hoovering those bad bees up. What’s the PolyMarket odds. 48%yes~ 52%no Sorry James looks like you will just have to get arrested or offed to proof the bet.
That leeds the thought bubble #2 to proof now, Hugh , prove everything before you believe. This is where Sambody comes in.
It begins on a Wedsday night, an evening of testimonials in the Christian Science Church. This time is set aside for visiting speakers and their testimonials of healing. That’s where I came up with “Karl’s Cleaners” postulate . “Is there any stain of MONEY ( gain) in the laundry bag of testimonials?”. I’ have heard a few Hugh. Seen a few.
Sambody states. ” preferring black or white magic, expecting the worst or the best, yet incapable to see that as we sow, thus shall we reap, or you get what you pay for, or energy follows intent, truth is only hidden because we want it that way for some unrecognised benefit ”
That unrecognizable benefit? In a C.S. Church I found very little of the ” unrecognizable”. It was an unofficial tenet that you don’t wish ( it) on anybody. Especially when you may have experienced ” the white hot experience of a miracle”. It’s broke some psychologically , because it was so unexplainable to the Material Science knowledge it distorts.
To say James isn’t ~ is a leap of faith, and so materially unscientific. Karl’s Cleaners, Hughes Wedge, Akums Razor, Parkinsons Law, POSIWID, does not matter. You just have to wish the cat dead in the box to make it so. That’s not too far from the truth.
My Theory on the fact that The Corbett Report has been allowed to exist is that the devil has bigger fish to fry. They have done much to discourage and silence him, yet he continues to be motivated by a higher power than the devil.
Another fact is that James operates out of Japan where the Zionists have far less control to actually do anything.
Hell, he may not even be subjected to daily doses of upper atmospheric chemical spraying and artificial weather modification. (apparently Iran has restored it’s natural weather after taking out a number of U.S. bases in the area.)
@TruthSeeker
Some ‘truth’ to find in your seeking…
* Between 1898 and 1934 the Marines invaded: Cuba 4 times; Nicaragua 5 times; Honduras 7 times; the Dominican Republic 4 times; Haiti twice; Guatemala once; Panama twice; Mexico 3 times; and Colombia 4 times. All done for the corporations to get natural resources and farm land for them.
* Eisenhower murdered over one million innocent Germans in open field prison camps, AFTER the war’s end.
* Johnson, Nixon, and J. Edgar Hoover were at Clint Murcheson’s ranch finalizing JFK’s murder the night before.
* George Bush allowed 9/11 to occur then murdered a million Iraqi innocents.
* Obama dropped over 26 thousand bombs in 2016 on innocents plus allowed the drone murder of wedding parties.
* Monica Petersen, a woman who was investigating the Clinton foundation for child trafficking and was found dead from “suicide” in Haiti 2/17
SUSPICIOUS DEATH BY SMALL AIRPLANE OR ACCIDENT: Senator Paul Wellstone, Congressman James A. Traficant, Congressman Sonny Bono, Senator John Heinz III on April 4, 1991, and two days later his partner in investigation John G. Tower. JFK Jr. U.S. Secretary of Commerce Ron Brown (1941-1996)
* The powers that shouldn’t be who didn’t hesitate to assassinate JFK, RFK, MLK, Wellstone, McDonald, Webb, Hastings, Dr. David Kelly (whistle blower Iraq WMDs), the entire Polish executive branch, and countless others & pulled off 9/11 and false flags around the world… CAN TAKE OUT ANYONE THEY WANT.
Darpa trawling for info on up and coming dastardly plans would appear to be a proactive risk indeed, but not much different than what the insurance market offers, as we recently saw when Lloyds of London effectively closed the straits of Hormuz… or when the owner of Twin Towers reinsured them shortly before their demolition… It monetises the Men Who Stare At Goats Darpa efforts to predict, to crack the covert misdirection cloaking of intent… As the film Minority Report showed, trying to pre-empt our inner shadows wild eruption… or coldly cunning plan. The internet is full of trickster ways to Manifest your destiny, and FBk has faithfully recorded every mouse click you made … how vulnerable we each are to The Plan To Enslave, to false flags, misdirection, how conspiratorial, security hungry, bribable, sex dominated, reality seeking… whether we are Doom scrollers, or equally lost as Wisdom scrollers, preferring black or white magic, expecting the worst or the best, yet incapable to see that as we sow, thus shall we reap, or you get what you pay for, or energy follows intent, truth is only hidden because we want it that way for some unrecognised benefit
Yep, those who seek rewards from seeds that they have not sowed will at some point have to deal with the consequences.
Receiving Interest payments on loans was once considered evil because it was money not earned, yet today investing/betting has gone to new levels. Here in the USA, it appears that most people are invested in markets that offer the highest returns without regard for the evil that may be responsible for these high returns.
If Jesus went ape-shit against the merchants of the temple, I don’t want to be around when he returns to find out people worldwide have been placing bets on his second coming…
That’s funny. 😉
Flipping over a few tables of “The Money Changers” is not what I would call Ape-shit.
Anyway, that act likely did raise him to the top of the “Shit List” of the corrupt bastards of the time because it directly addressed how they were deceiving and ripping off good but gullible people.
We see a lot of this kind of thing today by the Zionists.
Don’t worry, He has a habit of not coming.
Is that how so many of his brides, aka nuns, avoid pregnancy?
Maybe our wars and corruption haven’t been big enough yet. If we had a really, really huge and bloody mess maybe that could get him to come.
Still, please don’t use the words ape or shit in the same sentence as Jesus. It is not nice to make belief seekers angry.
UPDATE – News on Tuesday April 28, 2026
The New York Post
US Soldier Pleads Not Guilty in $400k Maduro Ouster Betting Scandal
2:19
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=32YqP2-ZCXc
His attorney gives a public statement to the Press.
The US Army soldier who allegedly used classified information to win $400,000 betting on the military operation to capture Venezuelan dictator Nicolás Maduro pleaded not guilty to fraud charges on Tuesday.
“Not guilty, your honor,” said Master Sgt. Gannon Ken Van Dyke, 38, wearing a dark blue blazer over a black button down shirt, in his first appearance in Manhattan federal court.
All Sgt. Gannon has to do to win this case is threaten to expose all the Zionists in Government that have done the same thing. Evidence of Inside Trading by powerful people should be easy to find. Perhaps his attorney can find some goods on the Judge even (that is how the Zionists would play this case)
If only it were so easy. A sgt in the military doesn’t know more than you or I in regards to who pulls the strings.
NEWS – Tuesday April 28, 2026 – The New York Post
Anthony Fauci Adviser Indicted by Department of Justice (DOJ) on Charges of Concealing COVID Records
2:27
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yZLMiH3y8mY
The Department of Justice indicted a former senior adviser to Dr. Anthony Fauci on Tuesday for allegedly concealing records amid probes into the origins of the COVID-19 pandemic.
David Morens, 78, has been charged with conspiracy against the United States; destruction, alteration, or falsification of records in federal investigations; concealment, removal, or mutilation of records; and aiding and abetting.
The indictment, unsealed Monday in Maryland federal court, also lists two unnamed co-conspirators who “concealed, removed, destroyed and caused the concealment, and removal of federal records to evade FOIA [Freedom of Information Act] and FRA [Federal Records Act].”
This looks to me like Fauci is looking for fall guys. Fauci is/was a high level Zionist asset who contributed to reducing world population by millions. If he is allowed to be prosecuted it will make it harder for the Zionists to recruit new assets.
This Polymarket thing developed by DARPA has some similarities with what I have gathered from watching interviews with Martin Armstrong who manages upwards of a Trillion dollars. Martin has developed a computer program he calls “Socrates” which analyzes markets and makes predictions based on what people are investing/betting on. His program has been so accurate at predicting future events that the CIA wanted to buy it from him. When he refused to sell it to them, they trumped up a criminal law Case against him for which he was locked up for two years. That was many years ago and he is back on top of things, but I think DARPA wanted to create something that ran on the same principals when they created Polymarket.
I recall Martin saying on one of his interviews, that his program works because someone on the inside knows what is going to happen before it does, and his program picks up on this. In other words he has a way of knowing what the insiders know before the event happens.
In the Case of Polymarket, DARPA created a Betting Market that they could monitor for predicting future events. If Martin is correct, someone has inside information on future events and they will bet on it, but in the case of Polymarket DARPA can nail these inside traders down, but at the same time they have created incentive for people to bet on evil things. Thus, evil things are more likely to happen because of Polymarket.
Do we really need agencies like DARPA, I think not!
I think Martin Armstrong would be willing to do an interview on Corbett Report
James Corbett says:
“…I think, at the very least, everyone shares the “ick factor” about an idea like this, literally betting on deaths, assassinations, bombings, regime change, war, etc., bloodshed and violence of various sorts.
There is an inherent ick factor to that….”
On that note, our culture has a terrible trend to it…
Ai Overview
Based on an April 2025 report from the Network Contagion Research Institute (NCRI), in collaboration with Rutgers University’s Social Perception Lab, approximately 55% of self-identified “left-of-center” respondents (which includes far-left, liberal, and slightly liberal) expressed that it was “at least somewhat justified” to murder Donald Trump, and 48% said the same regarding Elon Musk.
Assassination Culture: How Burning Teslas and Killing Billionaires Became a Meme Aesthetic for Political Violence
https://networkcontagion.us/wp-content/uploads/Assassination-Culture.pdf
[SEE GRAPHs]
Remember how the left protested wars, from Vietnam to the Gulf Wars.
“You become what you hate.”
That psychological concept just may have a foundation to it.
Peace, brother. ✌️
I reckon we become what & how we express. Or as the monks would say, expressing any sentiment just affirms to the brain a possible reaction, just another possibility given these kinds of circumstances. So, the more one expresses with violence the more chances they’ll use that emotional rage again,, and again.
So better get busy transmuting those aggressive reactions, which have been stacking up, pretty much our whole lives. oh and the bad news is that our bad reactions that dont get expressed as voice or bodily very likely are still bouncing around the psyche like a pong blip in a closed box. eventually it expresses as sickness and then death.
The other bad news is that transmutation happens by naming the emotion constructively before it gets named and becomes “hateful”,, which requires grease lightning psychological reflex awareness. wishing for it wont change the initial name or associated karma.
Or one can go to the beach with ones blips and beep box chocker with paths carved in stone, and take however long it does to spill ones collection of traumatic non expression of stress (can you say “Denial”) to the seas outstretched openess (is all that salt other peoples tears?). and dont forget projection. we project our confusion onto other circumstances and other people. People these days will have lotsa stress because of the scale of lying stealing and killing that just keeps coming every day.
Not all tolerance is virtuous.
We are called to be patient with people, even when they are wrong, even when they are difficult.
But truth itself is not something to be negotiated, softened, or redefined to make others comfortable.
This is where so many go astray. They confuse kindness with compromise, as if charity requires us to blur the lines of truth. It does not.
You can love a person deeply and still refuse to affirm what is false. In fact, that is the only kind of love that is real.
Tolerance applies to persons, never to truth.
Of course you already know this, but I like how succinctly this was expressed. It came to me, via facebook, from a Catholic friend. (No, I haven’t joined a religion).
sounds like you’re knocking on the door thats long been shuttering us from a golden age. you know, when everyone is thriving, kind, generous open minded, selflessly serving,,. The key to the locked door is HOW, how to turn the other cheek and get blasted again and still be standing? The question of how not to repeat the dirty when one is being trounced again and again. how to choose the wise path that results in a win win, how to address those who’ve dominated others and seemingly gotten away with it?
How to transmute the impulse for brutal domination? I think may be humanities biggest hurdle.
Us who’ve been parents know without blinking that we’d risk facing any brutality, including losing our own lives, to defend our children. So why isnt that answer good enough? I dont know. when the genocide stops we’ll know someone got the response right.
jail may work sometimes though likely mostly not
guillotines stop people, yet the dirt just keeps coming through others, stupidity seems unfixable lest people fix themselves
the old school spear through the leg might do
banishment would be hard to pull off these days
some yogis blame the cosmic rays we’re drifting through, they call it Kaliyuga. more than one told me, “In these times it will be extra difficult to become enlightened”. I supposed that meant patience or stubborn vigilance is the path? certainly revenge or fear based responses have failed over and again.
forgiveness is powerful but it doesn’t work unless the perpetrator apologizes, remorse for real. cant quite imagine nuttyyahoo nor oh bomber showing actual humility. The good news is, actual volume of ne’r do wells is likely tiny-as. the bad news is that small possy is kick’n billions of asses simply by having gotten us to sleep walk.
This life is a tricky art. We all look for shortcuts in our thinking and our agendas. Many of these look good (in the short term).
This is not going to be corrected overnight, no matter how many insights one may have.
Powerful people hate the truth…
https://youtu.be/Kkx0hUu59D4?t=1402
As James points out, a prediction market can both predict or cause the future. The positive outcomes of predictions will serve as a feedback loop to reinforce certain ideas. People who watch the outcomes will begin to believe in the system. Then when the odds start changing on something in particular (which can easily be controlled by people with money) the fact that ostensibly more people are “saying” it will happen must mean that some of them have inside information – therefore, it must be true. Then if that “thing” is made to happen: voila. Predictive programming succeeds again. Unfortunately, logical fallacies are easily exploited. https://www.logicalfallacies.org/
If there’s a low probability of alien invasion before 2027 but it keeps increasing each year until it has high odds for 2030, then they can roll out the psychological operation with the help of those who say “I knew it was coming…I saw it on Polymarket or Kalshi.”
Speaking of prophecies, did anyone notice the similarity between Trump and the Oracle of Delphi? When rich king Croesus asked the Oracle whether he should attack Persia (i.e. modern day Iran) the Priestess-Oracle predicted that if Croesus crossed the Halys River, he would destroy a great empire. Assuming this meant victory, Croesus marched against the Persians and was crushed. The great empire destroyed was that of Croesus himself. https://spokenpast.com/articles/oracle-delphi-prophecies/
I can’t help wondering if the string-pullers knew that story and were laughing on 7 April 2026 when Trump posted on Truthsocial that “A whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again. I don’t want that to happen, but it probably will. … We will find out tonight, one of the most important moments in the long and complex history of the World. 47 years of extortion, corruption, and death, will finally end. God Bless the Great People of Iran!”
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116363336033995961
Is Trump as Rich as Croesus? and was it really OUR civilization that would begin the death spiral that night?
This raises the unavoidable perennial question of defining TRUTH. An idea for streamlining this vast area of contention just came to me. Truth can be defined as that which cannot be negated by ‘magical thinking.’
A good place to start would be to look at the absurd claims of the furries and the trannies. Magical thinking is central to their behavior and arguments. I recommend that this lens also be applied to less instantly obvious mistakes, such as communism and DEI. (I am not a Republican, or strict conservative, but I am opening the examples with this low hanging fruit, provided by the current news and culture. So, let’s also examine those who think that Trump, or any politician, is a source of our salvation, and must remain above reproach).
But what about the majority of people and situations that we deal with in everyday life? It seems to me this heuristic applies to more mundane arguments, as well. Most people that we meet everyday are fairly kind and non-violent, but tenacious self-delusions are very common. They act as if they can bend truth for their comfort. That is the mistake. Truth is the hard rock in the raging sea, and we need it to be inflexible.
When Truth, the immunity to magical thinking, clashes directly with their minds, neurotic, or even explosive reactions occur.
So, if you happen to be right in a disagreement, you will still need patience and tolerance to make things right. This is essential for avoiding more confusion that conflict and war inevitably bring. After all, when revealing the truth about Santa and Tooth Fairies, we needn’t be too brutal about it. When the child’s consciousness has sufficiently matured, it will go smoothly. When society, at large, sufficiently matures, Truth can reign (again?). Don’t hold your breath. However, hopefully these words can help us turn in the right direction.
PS This problem of corruption, often unconscious, alarms me especially when it comes to how science is now represented, as well as conducted. Not just flawed ideals, but also money and status, can cause one to entertain magical thinking. This is so diametrically opposed to what science can accomplish, that it is of critical importance. Corbett Report has done lots of excellent work on this topic. Search Crisis in Science on his site.
James, I told you before and I will say it again openly and plainly so everyone can see it. There will be nuclear blasts in the Middle East around the Persian Gulf. Oil and gas exploration will be ceased for at least 25 years and all those rich Arab counties will be wiped out, or they return to their Bedouin states. This is not my prediction or a prophecy. If you follow the long term trends (creation of Islamic republic in Iran by Jimi Carter administration, Iran nuclear programme, Shia/Sunni war in the Middle East, and now Israel-US-Iran and Persian Gulf Arab countries that get hit no matter what happens where, …) you can see where it will lead. You will be SURPRISED to know that all of these have been published in a book written by an ex CIA officer in mid 70s. The book is called: The Crash of 79. READ THE BOOK!